Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.051623 0.060247 0.069721 0.080882 0.093648 0.107774 0.124567
2025-02-23 0.037751 0.048819 0.062121 0.079203 0.100466 0.125967 0.158758
2025-03-02 0.028645 0.040609 0.056179 0.077739 0.106601 0.143656 0.194537
2025-03-09 0.023122 0.035584 0.052988 0.078729 0.115416 0.165328 0.237757
2025-03-16 0.018172 0.030207 0.048153 0.076355 0.118903 0.179888 0.272839
2025-03-23 0.015887 0.028251 0.047770 0.080080 0.131245 0.207867 0.329537
2025-03-30 0.013459 0.025537 0.045671 0.080681 0.138691 0.229172 0.378383
2025-04-06 0.011110 0.022460 0.042406 0.078771 0.141686 0.243668 0.417915
2025-04-13 0.009314 0.020000 0.039742 0.077366 0.145124 0.258921 0.459775
2025-04-20 0.008533 0.019311 0.040098 0.081250 0.157931 0.290633 0.531329
2025-04-27 0.007745 0.018445 0.039964 0.084149 0.169208 0.320652 0.602508
2025-05-04 0.006546 0.016472 0.037344 0.081900 0.170674 0.333517 0.644843
2025-05-11 0.005649 0.015012 0.035590 0.081218 0.175218 0.352689 0.700862
2025-05-18 0.004765 0.013396 0.033241 0.078979 0.176437 0.365833 0.747111
2025-05-25 0.004058 0.012057 0.031272 0.077244 0.178420 0.380538 0.797508
2025-06-01 0.003620 0.011309 0.030530 0.078086 0.185820 0.406375 0.871347
2025-06-08 0.003062 0.010106 0.028492 0.075659 0.185876 0.417485 0.917120
2025-06-15 0.002884 0.009943 0.029006 0.079317 0.199755 0.458022 1.025150
2025-06-22 0.002583 0.009344 0.028297 0.079893 0.206688 0.484607 1.106676
2025-06-29 0.002222 0.008467 0.026695 0.077991 0.207619 0.498419 1.162604
2025-07-06 0.001929 0.007738 0.025367 0.076593 0.209562 0.514540 1.224624
2025-07-13 0.001843 0.007689 0.025977 0.080439 0.224729 0.561298 1.356438
2025-07-20 0.001731 0.007524 0.026219 0.083310 0.237753 0.604224 1.482872